The COVID Mirage: Maryland's 2021 Low Rate Was Virtual Instruction, Not Recovery
When Maryland students logged into Zoom, chronic absenteeism appeared to drop. When they returned to classrooms, it spiked 12.6 points in a single year.
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Dr. Nicole Miller, promoted from chief academic officer, became Garrett County's superintendent on July 1. The state's 2025-26 data show where the district's enrollment losses come from.
Maryland's chronic absenteeism rate fell to 25.2% in 2024-25, but the latest 1.5-point improvement was less than half the prior year's gain.
William Heiser returns to lead Baltimore County as K-12 enrollment reaches an available-record low and grade bands point to uneven planning pressures.
Maryland's two lowest-absence counties, at 16.8% and 17.3%, remain above the state's own 15% goal. Even the best is not good enough.
When Maryland students logged into Zoom, chronic absenteeism appeared to drop. When they returned to classrooms, it spiked 12.6 points in a single year.
From Frederick's 16.8% to Baltimore City's 48.7%, chronic absenteeism tracks poverty and geography more than any policy variable.
Baltimore City's 48.7% chronic absenteeism rate is 22.0 points above the state average and nearly three times Frederick County's rate.
High school enrollment fell for the first time in a decade, joining K-8 in decline. The pipeline that sustained Maryland's secondary schools has run dry.
Maryland's westernmost district has lost students every year since 2020, the longest active decline streak in the state, with no grade level spared.
Every year, thousands more students enroll in Maryland's 9th grade than left 8th grade. The gap peaked at 13,775 during COVID and remains above 9,000.
Maryland kindergarten enrollment has fallen 8.8% in a decade, with 20 of 24 districts below pre-COVID levels and no recovery in sight.
Twelve Maryland districts that gained students last year reversed to losses in 2025-26, leaving Kent County as the state's sole gainer.
Baltimore County Public Schools fell to 104,031 students in 2025-26, its lowest on record. The 1,913-student drop was the steepest in five years.
Grade 3 lost 2,470 students in 2025-26, more than any other grade. The pandemic's kindergarten disruption is now a rolling wave reshaping Maryland schools grade by grade.
Frederick County, Maryland's only large district consistently adding students, lost 123 in 2025-26, joining 22 other districts in decline.